carnkie
16 years ago
"stuey" wrote:

Cutting all this rubbish to the bare minimum.....

With anything, you have a bunch of data and a methodology for analysing the data and ascertaining it's significance....

Anyone with a half decent education can see and nod at the conclusions. They make sense, they follow a process, they are not rocket science or mystical.

The rubbish that the biased and UN funded IPCC come up with has no significant data, nor does it have a methodology. What it does have is a bunch of people following a thread with almost religious fervour, determined to prove their points. Sadly, science still operates on the data/methodology critique, in order to have some order of credibility. It's not what you hear on the news.......

I've worked alongside ex-IPCC staff as well as another guy who is making a lot of fuss about the oceans. Having an in depth chat to them about their methodology/data leads me to believe they have little to add to the subject, apart from their very large politically weighted soapboxes.

In my opinion, anthropogenically driven climate change is a noble lie, governed by the seriousness of peak oil. Conservation of resources, in order to maintain civilisation is one thing.... bleating on about things that make plant food gas is at best, the politics of envy and hippies hating the owners of half decent cars, or at worst, a pseudo religious bunch of godless freaks, desperately seeking some sort of meaning on planet earth and directly influencing my frigging life with their non-data non-methodoloical bullshizzle forcing me to grow a wind turbine and stop eating meat.

This crap will be proven for what it is, as there are allready correlations in the data which speak for themselves and will prove themselves right, whereas increasing concentrations of tax-gas will do nothing to the climate whatsoever.

Wait and see.

As a proper scientist, I will change my mind according to the evidence, for instance, if god shows up right now, I will cease being an athiest, however, these people have a point to prove and are merely delving deeper into jargon and models in order to prove their non-data backed up point...



Frankly I think that's a load of crap. Backed up with sod all. Scientist? As a matter of interest wwhat is a noble lie?
The past is a foreign country: they do things differently there.
Roy Morton
16 years ago
Well Roy, Stuey, Iclok, Bigloada, you can count me on your cabinet. :thumbsup:
I've seen a lot of money spent on stupid stuff because the money was there to be spent, and if if it wasn't spent there would be less to spend next year.
The Gov are asking us to cut down on our energy consumption by turning off anything with a standby light etc.
The local council offices at night are floodlit with megawatts of Halogen lighting and the computers left on standby...Errrm did I miss something here!!
There are more and more powers being handed to the private sector to make money out of BS.
Remember; Power corrupts and absolute power corrupts absolutely.
Weather what weather? are we talking about the weather...How very English....Carry on folks..... 😉



"You Chinese think of everything!"
"But I''m not Chinese!"
"Then you must have forgotten something!"
toadstone
16 years ago
"carnkie" wrote:

I don't know who XC weather are but they are not connected to the Met. Office. The BBC on the other get their weather forecasts after direct consultion with the chief forecaster at Met. Office headquarters, Exeter.
As I mentioned earlier it may stretching it a bit these days to say most of the forecasts come from the Met. Office. Aviation possibly excepted. The days of a Met. Office monopoly are long gone. Musn't go on about this or a migraine may set in remembering all the union meetings.
Then there were the offshore oil contracts......no I'm not going there.



Spent nearly fours years doing half hourly met obs as part of my duties as an ATCO on Ninian Central (among others).

XP Weather as far as I can see takes a feed from the published metars and TAF's and then displays them graphically. Very useful site IMHO.

There are many area specific sites giving information as I'm sure we're all aware of but like Carnkie says, derived from MO anyway. Webcams are a good alternative for instant wx.

Never thought that the weather would join politics and religion in a discussion :lol:
stuey
  • stuey
  • 50.2% (Neutral)
  • Newbie
16 years ago
"carnkie" wrote:

"stuey" wrote:

Cutting all this rubbish to the bare minimum.....

With anything, you have a bunch of data and a methodology for analysing the data and ascertaining it's significance....

Anyone with a half decent education can see and nod at the conclusions. They make sense, they follow a process, they are not rocket science or mystical.

The rubbish that the biased and UN funded IPCC come up with has no significant data, nor does it have a methodology. What it does have is a bunch of people following a thread with almost religious fervour, determined to prove their points. Sadly, science still operates on the data/methodology critique, in order to have some order of credibility. It's not what you hear on the news.......

I've worked alongside ex-IPCC staff as well as another guy who is making a lot of fuss about the oceans. Having an in depth chat to them about their methodology/data leads me to believe they have little to add to the subject, apart from their very large politically weighted soapboxes.

In my opinion, anthropogenically driven climate change is a noble lie, governed by the seriousness of peak oil. Conservation of resources, in order to maintain civilisation is one thing.... bleating on about things that make plant food gas is at best, the politics of envy and hippies hating the owners of half decent cars, or at worst, a pseudo religious bunch of godless freaks, desperately seeking some sort of meaning on planet earth and directly influencing my frigging life with their non-data non-methodoloical bullshizzle forcing me to grow a wind turbine and stop eating meat.

This crap will be proven for what it is, as there are allready correlations in the data which speak for themselves and will prove themselves right, whereas increasing concentrations of tax-gas will do nothing to the climate whatsoever.

Wait and see.

As a proper scientist, I will change my mind according to the evidence, for instance, if god shows up right now, I will cease being an athiest, however, these people have a point to prove and are merely delving deeper into jargon and models in order to prove their non-data backed up point...



Frankly I think that's a load of crap. Backed up with sod all. Scientist? As a matter of interest wwhat is a noble lie?



You think it's a load of crap? Ok, you need some references for further reading. As far as I was concerned, the peaking of oil as typified here:-

http://www.netl.doe.gov/publications/others/pdf/Oil_Peaking_NETL.pdf 

in the Hirsch report done by some credible, apolitical scientists runs into the seriousness of the matter. It seems odd that there is nothing being done to follow their recommendations (managing fossil fuel use right now) apart from the fervour about plant food gas.

You have to be religious or very stupid in order to see any credibility in the IPCC models. They progammed a computer to show an awful hockey stick and we're all going to drown/cook. Al Gore got on the bandwagon with his carbon capture $$$COMPANY$$$ and what you have left is a load of hysterical crap based on a highly shortcoming computer model spewing hysterical pseudo-religious rubbish.

The whole crux of the matter being the lack of an anthropogenic signal in global temperature data. There is no signal and that is it.

Both sides of the argument have lots of graphs and it would be too petty to get into the "here are my graphs so screw you" argument. There is enough evidence on the interweb to make up your own mind.

I'm just off to work and so I sadly can't get mega petty with my referencing. I will if necessary at a later date :D

It seems the whole approach to the problem via the IPCC is totally wrong. They are established to investigate anthropogenic climate change. Their very jobs depend on getting the goods and their paymasters have a tax agenda..... what do green taxes get spent on again? Left handed lesbian trombonists and stainless steel sculptures....

The chap I worked with, whilst being a very nice man and a very good christian was "Sulphates" man. SOx being very serious greenhouse gases indeed..... according to test tube results. He completely overlooked the concentration fact and how it influences the actual absorption of IR. Again, it appears from the conclusions we discussed that he had not considered the "actual" impact this would have had on the overall picture. Cue some computer modelling and the conclusion..... I need a payrise...and also, we're all going to die.

I'm not some sort of anti-environmental freak, I am very much into my conservation.... very much so indeed. I am also interested and read a lot about paleoclimates.... something these guys seem to have little appreciation of.

I fully applaud the attempts and see the reasoning perfectly clearly to develop alternative power strategies. However, it is not and there is no data supporting the fact that this needs to be done because of anthropogenic CO2 release.

I used to be an inorganic chemist. Copper, in fact, Copper (I) in even more detail! Anyway, I'm trained in and teach rigourous scientific practise. The fact is any conclusion.....and you should know this.... is based on an investigation, the data produced and a methodology of isolating it's significance, with statistical treatment. In none of this is there a shonky computer model producing such drastic predictions. A lot of the IPCC stuff does not stand up, nor does it get peer-reviewed. I suppose Bliar and Mandelson could do it ;)

Back to the Hirsch report, you can see there is a reason for the conclusion of the IPCC's current conclusions..... oil conservation....not tax-gas.

I would say, going off on a tangent. The world population is the matter of most concern, but again, it's difficult to tax. My personal belief is that it is largely due to oil and the way that facilitates civilisation as we know it. Take away the oil and you'll see what could happen to the population and how it does it. It's a fascinating subject.

The hirsch report hints at this in a non-alarmist, apolitical manner.

Yes to conservation.

No to politically funded scientist, paid to come up with a conclusion and support this not with real data, but shonky computer models. There is a lot of opposition to this. However, it is blindly taught as a truth and not a lot of people actually get beyond that to the data/methodology critique.

It's not as if they haven't produced enough reports!

Anyway, have a nice day!
ICLOK
  • ICLOK
  • 50.2% (Neutral)
  • Newbie
16 years ago
Everyone is scurrying about pulling their hair out and talking up Pandemics, Global Warming, Dirty bombs, terrorism etc etc and they will hype it all up in the papers, in the govt for their own ends...
In general terms life is less risky than it ever has been... there are vast stat tables compiled by independent people far more intelligent than me....

I just happen to use them in a professional capacity... as I am a qualified risk assessor so can comment....

To quote a few non runners and riders that were based on hype and twisted numbers we have:

The long awaited asteroid strike.. ooh didn't happen,
Y2K and the end of all things computer driven... ooooh its 2009,
Air pollution that would block out the sky by 2000 plunging us into an ice age... nope didn't happen,
CERN and the black hole that could swallow us up..... Still waiting
Ebola in 1995... ooooh er 255 dead... perhaps the wipout predicted was delayed
WMDs in Iraq.... think not
UK Mad Cow Disease epidemic... it didn't happen

The list is vast....

Oh as for the 1918 Pandemic 1918, yes it killed 50 million people who were unhealthy by todays standards, unprepared, and lacked drugs to treat it, and no Communication system to track its progress or warn others... 1918 has no resemblence to today but it makes for great news and gives people something to quote off the internet I suppose!

So I'll ignore that statement!










Aaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaagh Creeper!!!!!
royfellows
16 years ago
Yes Mr ICLOK, and don’t forget AIDS and bird flue and asbestos, now there is an interesting one. Two completely different chemical compounds both with the same name, and cowboys dressed in ex WD NODDY suits charging exorbitant fees to dispose of it.

I am currently watching the latest scare, ‘swine flu’ with interest.

I recently picked up an interesting new phrase from my friends in Wales, the "money-go-round".

Back to mining matters, if you happen to drive through Talybont, stop off and take a look at the interpretation board by the toilets. Slightly smaller than the desk I am sitting at typing this, yet it cost £14,000

My avatar is a poor likeness.
ChrisJC
16 years ago
"royfellows" wrote:



Back to mining matters, if you happen to drive through Talybont, stop off and take a look at the interpretation board by the toilets. Slightly smaller than the desk I am sitting at typing this, yet it cost £14,000



An, but Roy, does your desk have a:
Risk assessment
Method statement
Ethnic diversity and equality policy
Public Liability insurance

etc etc.

If not, it's not acceptable and I demand that you work on the floor.

Chris.
carnkie
16 years ago
"toadstone" wrote:

"carnkie" wrote:

I don't know who XC weather are but they are not connected to the Met. Office. The BBC on the other get their weather forecasts after direct consultion with the chief forecaster at Met. Office headquarters, Exeter.
As I mentioned earlier it may stretching it a bit these days to say most of the forecasts come from the Met. Office. Aviation possibly excepted. The days of a Met. Office monopoly are long gone. Musn't go on about this or a migraine may set in remembering all the union meetings.
Then there were the offshore oil contracts......no I'm not going there.



Spent nearly fours years doing half hourly met obs as part of my duties as an ATCO on Ninian Central (among others).

XP Weather as far as I can see takes a feed from the published metars and TAF's and then displays them graphically. Very useful site IMHO.

There are many area specific sites giving information as I'm sure we're all aware of but like Carnkie says, derived from MO anyway. Webcams are a good alternative for instant wx.

Never thought that the weather would join politics and religion in a discussion :lol:



As you know there are programs around like Digital Atmosphere where you can download the raw met data, virtually in real time, from the net that is now freely available. You can then do virtually anything with this. In the early days quite a few did this and probably still do. Some years ago what independant companies did was identify a niche market and go for it. Without the overheads of the MO they had a head start, so to speak.
The past is a foreign country: they do things differently there.

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