Guys.
Thanks for the responses, the reason I posted this question here is that I am an investor in Galantas and have a consideable amount of money tied up in this company. Therefore it is sensible to do as much research as possible. I have already done this which is why I recently bought shares in Galantas, but the one area I was unsure on was this issue of underground mining costs on the Kearney vein.
You seem to be implying I have some ulterior motive here. I have none; I work for a company called Atkins and as such am allowed to share any research or knowledge I have on Galantas. The restrictions you talk about are only relevant if you are in a high up position in a publicaly traded company company and have access to proce sensitive information. Companies are obliged to share price sensitive information through the Regulatory News Service (RNS). RNS transmits regulatory and non-regulatory information published by companies and organisations allowing them to comply with local market transparency legislation.
Anyway, I have nothing to gain by sharing this 'tip' with you fellas. Yes if more people buy the shares the price goes up and I would benefit but it would take a huge amount of buying pressure to have any effect on the share price.
Since you seem to question my motives, I'm happy to share my research with you and explain why I believe the current share price of 4p ish will be over 10p by the end of this year:
The upgrades to their machinery are due for completion in March (see latest operational update on this page):
http://www.iii.co.uk/investment/detail?code=cotn:GAL.L&display=news&it=le The ore processing rate becomes 15 tonnes an hour. They aim to work 24/7 in a quarter would mean being able to process 32400 tonnes.
8375 tonnes of ore produced 309 tonnes of concentrate and $1.76m in revenues (see above link and check out the quarterly results published on the 25/11/2010).
Production after upgrades could produce 20,000 to 30,000 tonnes of ore processed yielding 738 to 1060 tonnes of concentrate and revenues for the 3rd quarter in 2011 of $4.2m to $6, and add in a 10% rise in the gold price since then means revenues in the region of $4.6m to $6.5m.
Profits of $2.5 million is on the cards (after deductions comparative to last 3rd quarter results), so for a year could easily mean estimated profits of $9m to $12, or £5.5m to £7.5m.
A further uplift could be achieved by milling better grades, as the above estimate has assumed the recent grades of 4.75 g/t compared to 6 and above in their resource list quoted in the ACA Howe Report 2008 (top link on the following page):
http://www.galantas.com/corporate/s/SedarLink.html This independant report quotes grades of up to 9g/t on the Kearney vein.
Investors use what's called a "price earning ratio" (PER) to calculate market capitalisation of mining companies. A very low PER is 4 which is used if the life of the mine is say 5 - 10 years.
Applying a PER of 4 to predicted profits of £6.5 million gives a market capitalisation of £24 million. There are 236 million shares in issue so that gives a share price of 24m/236m = £0.1 or 10p a share.
They are carrying out further exploritory drilling this year so expect them to prove assets of upwards of 300,000 oz which would give us a mine life of over 10 years so a PER of 6 is more appropriate giving a share price of 15p.
Add to the fact the fact that I've been fairly prudent with forecast profits and ore milled so a share price next year of 20p+ isn't out of the question. I also haven't factored in the silver they are also mining which is probably worth an exrta couple of pence on the current share price especially with silver prices expected to rise to over $50/ounce this year!!
http://silver-shortage.blogspot.com/2011/02/david-morgan-silver-market-analysis.html Anyway do what you will with this information. I think it's a screaming buy at the moment which is why I'm invested and why i'm continuing to buy more shares as I free up more money.
Good luck all.
ps please don't ban me.